Ieuan Mackenzie vs Ollie Sarwa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
What's at stake
Ollie Sarwa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ieuan Mackenzie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1604
If they lose-18→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1670
If they lose-20→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ieuan MackenzieOllie Sarwa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ollie Sarwa56%
Ieuan Mackenzie 44%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Sarwa a 56% favorite over Ieuan Mackenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Ollie Sarwa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1574, a 84-point edge.
Ieuan Mackenzie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.