Combat Edge Intelligence

Ieuan Mackenzie vs Ray Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Craig Ewers AcademyTeamOhana Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ieuan MackenzieNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Ray RodriguezNow 1575
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
28%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ieuan MackenzieRay Rodriguez
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
4 (67%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Ieuan Mackenzie84%
Ray Rodriguez 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ieuan Mackenzie a 84% favorite over Ray Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ray Rodriguez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Ray Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ieuan Mackenzie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ray Rodriguez 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.