Ignacio Bahamondes vs John Makdessi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
75"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Ignacio Bahamondes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — John Makdessi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-18→ 1673
If they win+18→ 1664
If they lose-14→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ignacio BahamondesJohn Makdessi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ignacio Bahamondes79%
John Makdessi 21%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Bahamondes a 79% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ignacio Bahamondes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1646, a 45-point edge.
Ignacio Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, John Makdessi 50%.
Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.