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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ignacio Bahamondes vs John Makdessi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
75"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Valle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Ignacio Bahamondes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — John Makdessi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ignacio BahamondesNow 1710
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1691
John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+19→ 1665
If they lose-13→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.99
Sig. strikes / min
5.52
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
56%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
70%
Takedown defense
86%
0.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ignacio BahamondesJohn Makdessi
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (28%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ignacio Bahamondes79%
John Makdessi 21%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Bahamondes a 79% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Ignacio Bahamondes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1646, a 64-point edge.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, John Makdessi 50%.

Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.