Ignacio Bahamondes vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ignacio Bahamondes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1709
If they lose-14→ 1677
If they win+14→ 1744
If they lose-18→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ignacio BahamondesRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev61%
Ignacio Bahamondes 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 61% favorite over Ignacio Bahamondes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1691, a 39-point edge.
Ignacio Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Ignacio Bahamondes and Rafael Fiziev share 1 common opponent: Manuel Torres.
Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.