Combat Edge Intelligence

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
75"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

Tofiq Musayev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ignacio Bahamondes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ignacio BahamondesNow 1691
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1676
Tofiq MusayevNow 1706
If they win+15→ 1721
If they lose-17→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.55
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
56%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
2.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.43
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ignacio BahamondesTofiq Musayev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
18 (78%)
2 (12%)
Submission
2 (9%)
4 (24%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ignacio Bahamondes52%
Tofiq Musayev 48%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Bahamondes a 52% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tofiq Musayev's way (48%).

Tofiq Musayev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1691, a 15-point edge.

Ignacio Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 87%.

Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.