Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Valle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Ignacio Bahamondes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Trey Ogden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1724
If they lose-18→ 1692
If they win+18→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ignacio BahamondesTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ignacio Bahamondes75%
Trey Ogden 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Bahamondes a 75% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ignacio Bahamondes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1666, a 44-point edge.
Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.