Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Araujo vs Jack Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-0Record21-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFight Ministry

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor AraujoNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Jack GrantNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
16%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
22%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Igor AraujoJack Grant
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
17 (68%)
Submission
10 (48%)
7 (28%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Grant70%
Igor Araujo 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Grant a 70% favorite over Igor Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Igor Araujo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.

Igor Araujo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Igor Araujo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jack Grant 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.