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Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Araujo vs Muslim Tulshaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-10-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach78.7"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1608 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor AraujoNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Muslim TulshaevNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0.86
Takedown avg.
Not available
16%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
22%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.57
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Igor AraujoMuslim Tulshaev
1600165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
17 (68%)
Submission
5 (36%)
7 (28%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Tulshaev57%
Igor Araujo 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Tulshaev a 57% favorite over Igor Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Igor Araujo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.

Igor Araujo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Igor Araujo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Tulshaev 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.