Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Araujo vs Yohan Lainesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBrazilian Top Team Canada

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor AraujoNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Yohan LainesseNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
50%
Strike defense
59%
0.86
Takedown avg.
0.94
16%
Takedown accuracy
29%
22%
Takedown defense
73%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Igor AraujoYohan Lainesse
165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
17 (68%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (28%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Yohan Lainesse66%
Igor Araujo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yohan Lainesse a 66% favorite over Igor Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Igor Araujo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Igor Araujo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.