Igor Pokrajac vs Jan Błachowicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record29-12-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Jan Błachowicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Igor Pokrajac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1610
If they lose-7→ 1586
If they win+7→ 1740
If they lose-17→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1759 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Igor PokrajacJan Błachowicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jan Błachowicz88%
Igor Pokrajac 12%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Jan Błachowicz a 88% favorite over Igor Pokrajac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Jan Błachowicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1593, a 140-point edge.
Igor Pokrajac finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.
Jan Błachowicz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.