Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Pokrajac vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Igor Pokrajac
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Igor Pokrajac

“The Duke”

29-15-0Light HeavyweightFEN

1593Solid

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record22-9-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74,0"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Igor Pokrajac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Igor PokrajacNow 1593
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-9→ 1584
Marcos Rogerio de LimaNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-20→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
40%
Strike defense
52%
0.87
Takedown avg.
1.40
29%
Takedown accuracy
46%
51%
Takedown defense
59%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Igor PokrajacMarcos Rogerio de Lima
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
9 (31%)
Submission
3 (14%)
4 (14%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Rogerio de Lima78%
Igor Pokrajac 22%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 78% favorite over Igor Pokrajac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Marcos Rogerio de Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1593, a 79-point edge.

Igor Pokrajac finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.