Igor Pokrajac vs Rafael Cavalcante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record13-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Rafael Cavalcante is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Igor Pokrajac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-11→ 1581
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-18→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Igor PokrajacRafael Cavalcante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Cavalcante62%
Igor Pokrajac 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Cavalcante a 62% favorite over Igor Pokrajac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Rafael Cavalcante holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1592, a 39-point edge.
Igor Pokrajac finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Cavalcante 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.