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Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Pokrajac vs Stephan Bonnar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Igor Pokrajac
hr

Igor Pokrajac

“The Duke”

29-15-0Light HeavyweightFEN

1592Solid
Stephan Bonnar
us

Stephan Bonnar

“The American Psycho”

15-9-0Light Heavyweight

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74,0"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

Stephan Bonnar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Igor Pokrajac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Igor PokrajacNow 1592
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-11→ 1581
Stephan BonnarNow 1613
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-17→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
46%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
40%
Strike defense
52%
0.87
Takedown avg.
1.32
29%
Takedown accuracy
40%
51%
Takedown defense
60%
0.25
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Igor PokrajacStephan Bonnar
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
9 (31%)
Submission
7 (47%)
4 (14%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephan Bonnar58%
Igor Pokrajac 42%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephan Bonnar a 58% favorite over Igor Pokrajac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Stephan Bonnar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1592, a 21-point edge.

Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Igor Pokrajac finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.

Stephan Bonnar carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.