Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Severino vs Keito Yamakita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'1"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· avg 1702 EloTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· avg 1636 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor SeverinoNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Keito YamakitaNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.17
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
9.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
71%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Igor SeverinoKeito Yamakita
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (40%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (10%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Igor Severino and Keito Yamakita within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1688), separated by just 2 points.

Igor Severino enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Keito Yamakita enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Igor Severino finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Keito Yamakita 42%.

Igor Severino carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.