Igor Vovchanchyn vs Paulo Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-10-0Record16-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team VovchanchynTeamTeam Borracha
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Igor VovchanchynPaulo Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulo Costa76%
Igor Vovchanchyn 24%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Costa a 76% favorite over Igor Vovchanchyn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Igor Vovchanchyn's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1754), separated by just 5 points.
Igor Vovchanchyn enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paulo Costa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Igor Vovchanchyn finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Costa 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.