Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Vovchanchyn vs Robert Whittaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

56-10-0Record27-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team VovchanchynTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor VovchanchynNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Robert WhittakerNow 1752
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.73
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Igor VovchanchynRobert Whittaker
17501800200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

41 (73%)
KO/TKO
11 (41%)
7 (13%)
Submission
5 (19%)
8 (14%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Whittaker72%
Igor Vovchanchyn 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 72% favorite over Igor Vovchanchyn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Igor Vovchanchyn's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1752), separated by just 7 points.

Igor Vovchanchyn enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Igor Vovchanchyn finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.