Ike Villanueva vs Jordan Wright
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-14-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
73"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jordan Wright is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ike Villanueva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1556
If they lose-11→ 1524
If they win+11→ 1661
If they lose-21→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ike VillanuevaJordan Wright
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Wright78%
Ike Villanueva 22%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Wright a 78% favorite over Ike Villanueva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jordan Wright holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1535, a 115-point edge.
Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jordan Wright enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ike Villanueva finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Wright 92%.
Jordan Wright carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.