Combat Edge Intelligence

Ike Villanueva vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ike Villanueva
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Ike Villanueva

“Hurricane Ike”

18-14-0Light HeavyweightBYB

1535Average

Tale of the tape

18-14-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
73"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

Tyson Pedro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ike Villanueva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ike VillanuevaNow 1535
If they win+20→ 1555
If they lose-12→ 1523
Tyson PedroNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-20→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Ike VillanuevaTyson Pedro
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
3 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Pedro72%
Ike Villanueva 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Pedro a 72% favorite over Ike Villanueva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Tyson Pedro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1535, a 79-point edge.

Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ike Villanueva finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Tyson Pedro carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.