Ike Villanueva vs Vinicius Moreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-14-0Record12-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamFive Rounds
What's at stake
Vinicius Moreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ike Villanueva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1552
If they lose-15→ 1520
If they win+15→ 1581
If they lose-17→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ike VillanuevaVinicius Moreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinicius Moreira66%
Ike Villanueva 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Moreira a 66% favorite over Ike Villanueva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Vinicius Moreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1566 to 1535, a 31-point edge.
Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ike Villanueva finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.