Ikram Aliskerov vs Phil Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach77"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Ikram Aliskerov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Phil Hawes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1788
If they lose-23→ 1756
If they win+23→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ikram AliskerovPhil Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ikram Aliskerov92%
Phil Hawes 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Ikram Aliskerov a 92% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Ikram Aliskerov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1623, a 156-point edge.
Ikram Aliskerov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ikram Aliskerov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.
Ikram Aliskerov and Phil Hawes share 1 common opponent: Brunno Ferreira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.