Combat Edge Intelligence

Ikram Aliskerov vs Warlley Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach72,0"
184 lbsWeight186 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamRizzo RVT

What's at stake

Ikram Aliskerov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Warlley Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ikram AliskerovNow 1779
If they win+9→ 1788
If they lose-23→ 1756
Warlley AlvesNow 1625
If they win+23→ 1648
If they lose-9→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
65%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
41%
Strike defense
51%
3.20
Takedown avg.
1.22
60%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
0.53
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Ikram AliskerovWarlley Alves
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
5 (28%)
Submission
6 (43%)
6 (33%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ikram Aliskerov92%
Warlley Alves 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Ikram Aliskerov a 92% favorite over Warlley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Ikram Aliskerov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1625, a 154-point edge.

Ikram Aliskerov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Ikram Aliskerov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Warlley Alves 71%.

Ikram Aliskerov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.