Ilara Joanne vs Izabela Badurek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record8-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
64"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamWCA Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilara JoanneIzabela Badurek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne70%
Izabela Badurek 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 70% favorite over Izabela Badurek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Izabela Badurek's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1523), separated by just 1 points.
Ilara Joanne finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Izabela Badurek 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.