Ilara Joanne vs Karine Gevorgyan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record3-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'4"
64"Reach37,0"
125 lbsWeight130 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamProfessional Armfighting Federation
What's at stake
Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Karine Gevorgyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1537
If they lose-17→ 1505
If they win+26→ 1525
If they lose-22→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilara JoanneKarine Gevorgyan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne70%
Karine Gevorgyan 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 70% favorite over Karine Gevorgyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1499, a 23-point edge.
Ilara Joanne finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Karine Gevorgyan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.