Ilara Joanne vs Melinda Fabian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record5-4-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
64"Reach37,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBudapest Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1536
If they lose-16→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilara JoanneMelinda Fabian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne60%
Melinda Fabian 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 60% favorite over Melinda Fabian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1520), separated by just 2 points.
Ilara Joanne finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Melinda Fabian 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.