Ilara Joanne vs Nadia Kassem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
64"Reach38.50
125 lbsWeight120 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamAustralian Top Team
What's at stake
Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Nadia Kassem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1536
If they lose-18→ 1504
If they win+27→ 1511
If they lose-21→ 1463
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilara JoanneNadia Kassem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne66%
Nadia Kassem 34%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 66% favorite over Nadia Kassem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1484, a 38-point edge.
Nadia Kassem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ilara Joanne finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Nadia Kassem 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.