Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilara Joanne vs Shana Dobson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilara Joanne
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Ilara Joanne

“Arya Stark”

13-11-0FlyweightPFL

1522Average

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record4-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
64"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Shana Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ilara JoanneNow 1522
If they win+15→ 1537
If they lose-17→ 1505
Shana DobsonNow 1506
If they win+25→ 1531
If they lose-23→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.84
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
14%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ilara JoanneShana Dobson
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
3 (23%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (46%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilara Joanne60%
Shana Dobson 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 60% favorite over Shana Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1506, a 16-point edge.

Ilara Joanne finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Shana Dobson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.