Ilara Joanne vs Tyra Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record4-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'3"
64"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamVictory MMA
What's at stake
Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tyra Parker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1536
If they lose-18→ 1504
If they win+26→ 1515
If they lose-22→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilara JoanneTyra Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne72%
Tyra Parker 28%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 72% favorite over Tyra Parker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1489, a 33-point edge.
Ilara Joanne finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Tyra Parker 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.