Combat Edge Intelligence

Ildemar Alcantara vs Leandro Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leandro Silva
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Leandro Silva

“Buscape / Apollo”

28-12-1LightweightOKMMA

1671Good

Tale of the tape

26-18-0Record28-12-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
44,0"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Leandro Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ildemar Alcantara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ildemar AlcantaraNow 1528
If they win+17→ 1545
If they lose-7→ 1521
Leandro SilvaNow 1671
If they win+7→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
39%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
50%
Strike defense
63%
2
Takedown avg.
1.76
68%
Takedown accuracy
38%
82%
Takedown defense
66%
0.92
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Ildemar AlcantaraLeandro Silva
1550160016502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (11%)
9 (35%)
Submission
11 (39%)
6 (23%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Silva75%
Ildemar Alcantara 25%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Silva a 75% favorite over Ildemar Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Leandro Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1528, a 143-point edge.

Ildemar Alcantara enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ildemar Alcantara finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.