Ildemar Alcantara vs Leandro Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-18-0Record28-12-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
44,0"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Leandro Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ildemar Alcantara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1544
If they lose-8→ 1520
If they win+8→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ildemar AlcantaraLeandro Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leandro Silva68%
Ildemar Alcantara 32%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Silva a 68% favorite over Ildemar Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Leandro Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1528, a 127-point edge.
Ildemar Alcantara enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ildemar Alcantara finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.