Combat Edge Intelligence

Ildemar Alcantara vs Marek Bartl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-18-0Record17-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
44,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamJiuJitsu Academy Bratislava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ildemar AlcantaraNow 1528
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516
Marek BartlNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
68%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.92
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ildemar AlcantaraMarek Bartl
145015001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
9 (35%)
Submission
6 (35%)
6 (23%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Bartl70%
Ildemar Alcantara 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Bartl a 70% favorite over Ildemar Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ildemar Alcantara's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1527), separated by just 1 points.

Ildemar Alcantara enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ildemar Alcantara finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Marek Bartl 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.