Ildemar Alcantara vs Richardson Moreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-18-0Record8-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
44,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516
If they win+17→ 1534
If they lose-15→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ildemar AlcantaraRichardson Moreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Richardson Moreira60%
Ildemar Alcantara 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Richardson Moreira a 60% favorite over Ildemar Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ildemar Alcantara's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1517), separated by just 11 points.
Ildemar Alcantara enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ildemar Alcantara finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Richardson Moreira 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.