Ilia Topuria vs Ryan Hall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Climent Club· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam50-50 BJJ
What's at stake
Ilia Topuria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1839
If they lose-23→ 1807
If they win+23→ 1688
If they lose-9→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ilia TopuriaRyan Hall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilia Topuria91%
Ryan Hall 9%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 91% favorite over Ryan Hall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Ilia Topuria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1665, a 165-point edge.
Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.