Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilia Topuria vs Ryan Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilia Topuria

“El Matador”

17-1-0FeatherweightUFC

Elo1829Great

Ryan Hall

“The Wizard”

9-2-0FeatherweightUFC

Elo1665Good

Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record9-2-0

FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight

5'8"Height5'10"

69"Reach70"

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

Climent ClubTeam50-50 BJJ

What's at stake

Ilia Topuria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ryan Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ilia TopuriaNow 1829

If they win+9→ 1838

If they lose-23→ 1806

Ryan HallNow 1665

If they win+23→ 1688

If they lose-9→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1757 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.81

Sig. strikes / min

2.38

48%

Strike accuracy

50%

3.83

Strikes absorbed / minLower is better

1.33

64%

Strike defense

66%

1.96

Takedown avg.

0.22

61%

Takedown accuracy

94%

Takedown defense

1.07

Submission avg.

2.22

Elo Trajectory

Ilia TopuriaRyan Hall

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)

KO/TKO

2 (22%)

8 (47%)

Submission

3 (33%)

2 (12%)

Decision

4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilia Topuria92%

Ryan Hall 8%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 92% favorite over Ryan Hall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Ilia Topuria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1665, a 164-point edge.

Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.