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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilia Topuria vs Salahdine Parnasse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilia Topuria
es

Ilia Topuria

“El Matador”

17-1-0FeatherweightUFC

1830Great

Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record24-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Climent Club· 1677 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAtch Academy· 1632 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ilia TopuriaNow 1830
If they win+16→ 1846
If they lose-16→ 1814
Salahdine ParnasseNow 1821
If they win+12→ 1833
If they lose-12→ 1809

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
50%
Strike accuracy
71%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.42
62%
Strike defense
55%
1.73
Takedown avg.
0
24%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
95%
Takedown defense
0%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ilia TopuriaSalahdine Parnasse
175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
8 (47%)
Submission
7 (29%)
2 (12%)
Decision
8 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilia Topuria63%
Salahdine Parnasse 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 63% favorite over Salahdine Parnasse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1830 vs 1821), separated by just 9 points.

Salahdine Parnasse enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Salahdine Parnasse 67%.

Salahdine Parnasse carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.