Ilian Bouafia vs Marc-André Barriault
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ilian BouafiaMarc-André Barriault
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marc-André Barriault58%
Ilian Bouafia 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 58% favorite over Ilian Bouafia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ilian Bouafia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ilian Bouafia finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.
Ilian Bouafia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.