Combat Edge Intelligence

Iliarde Santos vs Joe Hiramoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-16-1Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGoukikai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Iliarde SantosNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Joe HiramotoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.66
Takedown avg.
TBD
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Iliarde SantosJoe Hiramoto
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
7 (22%)
Submission
1 (25%)
11 (34%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Hiramoto71%
Iliarde Santos 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Hiramoto a 71% favorite over Iliarde Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Iliarde Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1559), separated by just 0 points.

Joe Hiramoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Iliarde Santos finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Joe Hiramoto 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.