Iliarde Santos vs Yuma Horiuchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-16-1Record11-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTitan Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Iliarde SantosYuma Horiuchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yuma Horiuchi64%
Iliarde Santos 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yuma Horiuchi a 64% favorite over Iliarde Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Iliarde Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Yuma Horiuchi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Iliarde Santos finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Yuma Horiuchi 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.