Ilir Latifi vs Ryan Bader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record31-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
73"Reach74,0"
250 lbsWeight232 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ilir Latifi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1690
If they lose-9→ 1658
If they win+7→ 1830
If they lose-17→ 1806
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilir LatifiRyan Bader
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Bader78%
Ilir Latifi 22%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 78% favorite over Ilir Latifi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1667, a 156-point edge.
Ilir Latifi finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.
Ilir Latifi and Ryan Bader share 1 common opponent: Corey Anderson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.