Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilir Latifi vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilir Latifi
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Ilir Latifi

“The Sledgehammer”

16-9-0HeavyweightUFC

1667Good

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record10-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
73"Reach79"
250 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

Ilir Latifi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Tyson Pedro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ilir LatifiNow 1667
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-19→ 1648
Tyson PedroNow 1592
If they win+19→ 1611
If they lose-13→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
45%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
56%
Strike defense
56%
2.11
Takedown avg.
0.76
36%
Takedown accuracy
15%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Ilir LatifiTyson Pedro
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
4 (25%)
Submission
5 (50%)
6 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilir Latifi70%
Tyson Pedro 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilir Latifi a 70% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Ilir Latifi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1592, a 75-point edge.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ilir Latifi finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Ilir Latifi and Tyson Pedro share 1 common opponent: Ovince St. Preux.

Tyson Pedro carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSUB · 2018
Ovince St. Preux
LossSubmission (Straight Armlock) · 2018