Ilmadi Israilov vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record21-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 31 ratedTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1707
If they lose-24→ 1659
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ilmadi IsrailovJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda64%
Ilmadi Israilov 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 64% favorite over Ilmadi Israilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.
Ilmadi Israilov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Ilmadi Israilov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.