Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilya Kotau vs Jorge Chacon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
69"Reach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ilya KotauNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ilya KotauJorge Chacon
150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon75%
Ilya Kotau 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 75% favorite over Ilya Kotau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ilya Kotau's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1478), separated by just 0 points.

Ilya Kotau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.