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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilyasse Drabo vs Sammy Morgan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sammy Morgan
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Sammy Morgan

“The Squeeze”

18-12-0WelterweightSF

1472Average

Tale of the tape

1-2-0Record18-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
YOFOXTeamTeam Bison

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ilyasse DraboNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452
Sammy MorganNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
20%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.69
Not available
Strike defense
40%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Ilyasse DraboSammy Morgan
1500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilyasse Drabo54%
Sammy Morgan 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilyasse Drabo a 54% favorite over Sammy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1472), separated by just 4 points.

Sammy Morgan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sammy Morgan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.