Combat Edge Intelligence

Impa Kasanganay vs Joaquin Buckley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Impa Kasanganay carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Impa KasanganayNow 1731
If they win+13→ 1744
If they lose-11→ 1720
Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.54
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Impa KasanganayJoaquin Buckley
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
3 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (45%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Impa Kasanganay and Joaquin Buckley within a point of even.

Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1731, a 24-point edge.

Impa Kasanganay enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Impa Kasanganay finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Buckley 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.