Impa Kasanganay vs Johnny Eblen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record18-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Johnny Eblen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Impa Kasanganay carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1735
If they lose-9→ 1711
If they win+12→ 1824
If they lose-20→ 1792
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Impa KasanganayJohnny Eblen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Eblen68%
Impa Kasanganay 32%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Eblen a 68% favorite over Impa Kasanganay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Johnny Eblen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1720, a 92-point edge.
Johnny Eblen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Impa Kasanganay finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eblen 50%.
Impa Kasanganay and Johnny Eblen share 1 common opponent: Fabian Edwards.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossTKO (Flying Knee & Punches) · 2025
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinKO (Elbows and Punches) · 2023