Combat Edge Intelligence

Impa Kasanganay vs Sasha Palatnikov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record8-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamWarrior Academy

What's at stake

Impa Kasanganay is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Sasha Palatnikov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Impa KasanganayNow 1720
If they win+7→ 1727
If they lose-17→ 1703
Sasha PalatnikovNow 1561
If they win+23→ 1584
If they lose-9→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.44
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Impa KasanganaySasha Palatnikov
155016001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (45%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Impa Kasanganay92%
Sasha Palatnikov 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Impa Kasanganay a 92% favorite over Sasha Palatnikov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Impa Kasanganay holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1561, a 159-point edge.

Impa Kasanganay finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Sasha Palatnikov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.