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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ioan Harris vs Matthew Semelsberger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record11-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ioan HarrisNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Matthew SemelsbergerNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.01
Not available
Takedown accuracy
57%
Not available
Takedown defense
46%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Ioan HarrisMatthew Semelsberger
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
5 (71%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Semelsberger61%
Ioan Harris 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Semelsberger a 61% favorite over Ioan Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.

Ioan Harris enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ioan Harris finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Semelsberger 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.