Combat Edge Intelligence

Ioan Harris vs Paulo Thiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Two4 Martial ArtsTeamX-Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ioan HarrisNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Paulo ThiagoNow 1595
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
32%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Ioan HarrisPaulo Thiago
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
5 (71%)
Submission
10 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Ioan Harris64%
Paulo Thiago 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ioan Harris a 64% favorite over Paulo Thiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1595), separated by just 0 points.

Ioan Harris enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ioan Harris finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Thiago 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.