Combat Edge Intelligence

Irakli Kuchukhidze vs Paul Herrera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club MotivatorTeamEmpire Training Center

What's at stake

Irakli Kuchukhidze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Paul Herrera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irakli KuchukhidzeNow 1513
If they win+23→ 1536
If they lose-25→ 1488
Paul HerreraNow 1498
If they win+25→ 1523
If they lose-23→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Irakli KuchukhidzePaul Herrera
15001550200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Irakli Kuchukhidze70%
Paul Herrera 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Irakli Kuchukhidze a 70% favorite over Paul Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Irakli Kuchukhidze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1513 to 1498, a 15-point edge.

Irakli Kuchukhidze enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Irakli Kuchukhidze finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.