Combat Edge Intelligence

Irakli Kuchukhidze vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fight Club MotivatorTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Irakli KuchukhidzeNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Stephen CostelloNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Irakli KuchukhidzeStephen Costello
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (25%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Costello60%
Irakli Kuchukhidze 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 60% favorite over Irakli Kuchukhidze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1536), separated by just 3 points.

Irakli Kuchukhidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Irakli Kuchukhidze finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.