Combat Edge Intelligence

Irakli Kuchukhidze vs Wataru Sakata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record11-14-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight178 lbs
Fight Club MotivatorTeamFreelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Irakli Kuchukhidze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Wataru Sakata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irakli KuchukhidzeNow 1513
If they win+23→ 1536
If they lose-25→ 1488
Wataru SakataNow 1496
If they win+13→ 1509
If they lose-11→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Irakli KuchukhidzeWataru Sakata
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (25%)
Submission
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Irakli Kuchukhidze72%
Wataru Sakata 28%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Irakli Kuchukhidze a 72% favorite over Wataru Sakata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Irakli Kuchukhidze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1513 to 1496, a 17-point edge.

Irakli Kuchukhidze enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Wataru Sakata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Irakli Kuchukhidze finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wataru Sakata 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.