Irene Aldana vs Leslie Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record12-9-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"Reach66,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Irene Aldana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Leslie Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1661
If they lose-19→ 1629
If they win+19→ 1607
If they lose-13→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irene AldanaLeslie Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Irene Aldana70%
Leslie Smith 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Irene Aldana a 70% favorite over Leslie Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Irene Aldana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1588, a 60-point edge.
Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Leslie Smith 42%.
Irene Aldana carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.