Combat Edge Intelligence

Irene Aldana vs Lucie Pudilová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record15-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Irene Aldana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Lucie Pudilová carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irene AldanaNow 1648
If they win+13→ 1661
If they lose-19→ 1629
Lucie PudilováNow 1575
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
40%
Strike accuracy
38%
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.70
50%
Takedown accuracy
32%
78%
Takedown defense
68%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Irene AldanaLucie Pudilová
1600165020232024

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (27%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Irene Aldana60%
Lucie Pudilová 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Irene Aldana a 60% favorite over Lucie Pudilová in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Irene Aldana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1575, a 73-point edge.

Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Lucie Pudilová 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.